In response to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, the U.S. military is enhancing its regional air command and situational awareness. (Video screenshot)
[People News] The latest media updates indicate that the United States and Iran have refrained from launching any attacks for three consecutive days, providing a brief respite following nearly two weeks of bombings.
On Monday, two regional officials reported that mediators have made progress in encouraging both the U.S. and Iran to return to the negotiating table, thereby avoiding a full-scale war in the Middle East. After a rapid escalation of tensions, both parties have paused their attacks.
The Associated Press reports that with mediation efforts from Qatar and Pakistan, mediators are striving to bridge the differences between the U.S. and Iran, aiming to restore the previously damaged temporary ceasefire agreement.
U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Mike Waltz stated in an interview with Fox News, "President Trump is creating space for negotiations. In recent weeks, particularly in the last few days, we have engaged Oman and Iran, along with some of our other negotiating representatives, in discussions at various levels, from the highest to the technical aspects."
A regional official who spoke with the Associated Press noted that the mediation efforts have achieved "significant" progress. He indicated that mediators are collaborating with Iran and Oman to establish a mechanism for managing the passage of vessels through the Strait of Hormuz, which has been the trigger for the latest round of conflict between the U.S. and Iran.
Esmail Baghaei, the spokesman for the Iranian Foreign Ministry, stated at a press conference in Tehran on Monday that while mediators are passing messages, Iran and the United States have not yet engaged in direct negotiations.
He mentioned that Iran and Oman, located across the Strait of Hormuz, held several rounds of discussions on Friday and Saturday to address the management of shipping traffic through this vital waterway.
The Iranian government maintains that the interim agreement reached with the United States enables Iran to effectively manage shipping in the Strait.
On Saturday, the U.S. military reported that the recently re-imposed maritime blockade on Iran is still in effect, with over a dozen commercial vessels having been forced to alter their courses. Among these, two vessels lost power, and two others were boarded for inspection. The U.S. military remains highly vigilant and prepared to take action at any time.
Since the signing of the interim agreement between the U.S. and Iran in mid-June, more than half of the 60-day deadline has elapsed. Mediators are working to facilitate ongoing dialogue between the two sides, while the central issue that has escalated tensions—the Iranian nuclear program—remains unresolved.
The Chinese Communist Party 'calls for peace while subtly indicating profit-making.'
It is widely recognized that the Chinese Communist Party has long provided support to Iran in terms of weaponry and military capabilities. However, the manner in which it offers this support is both cunning and strategically calculated: it seeks to avoid 'directly and overtly delivering a complete set of heavy weapons,' instead opting for 'covert support through grey zone tactics and dual-use technologies.' We can characterize the operations of the Chinese Communist Party as 'acting without declaration, providing support in secrecy.'
For instance, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) does not directly transport assembled missiles to Iran; instead, it exports large quantities of solid rocket propellant materials (such as ammonium perchlorate), advanced composite materials, precision machine tools, gyroscopes, and accelerometers. These critical components serve as the lifeline for Iran's assembly and upgrading of medium-range ballistic missiles, drones, and cruise missiles.
Many of Iran's primary weapons are essentially 'variants' of Chinese technology. A notable example is Iran's 'Noor' anti-ship cruise missile, which is produced through reverse engineering of the C-802 anti-ship missile, based on technology authorized and transferred by China.
Moreover, the CCP also provides assistance in satellite positioning and battlefield intelligence. In recent years, the accuracy of Iran's missiles and drones has greatly improved, largely due to access to the high-precision positioning services of China's 'BeiDou Satellite Navigation System' and navigation and battlefield intelligence data from Chinese commercial satellite companies.
To circumvent international sanctions and United Nations inspections, a significant number of military-related components from the CCP are shipped to Iran via front companies, third-country transhipment ports (such as those in Southeast Asia or the Middle East), and a 'shadow fleet', thus maintaining a level of diplomatic 'plausible deniability'.
The CCP is cautious not to offend the wealthy Arab states of the Gulf.
The CCP has consistently employed a 'semi-concealed' gray model for its military support to Iran, motivated by its own strategic interests.
The primary reason for this approach is the CCP's desire to avoid antagonizing the affluent Arab states of the Gulf.
According to a report from Xinhua News Agency, the annual bilateral trade volume between China and the six member countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), which includes Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, is around $257 billion. China has now surpassed the United States and Europe to become the largest trading partner in the region.
Should the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) openly supply heavy offensive weapons to Iran, it would immediately alienate Saudi Arabia and the UAE, jeopardizing China's economic and energy interests in the Arabian Peninsula.
Additionally, the CCP must navigate the risk of secondary sanctions from the West. If China were to directly export a complete arsenal to Iran, it would put Chinese state-owned enterprises and military conglomerates at risk of facing the harshest penalties from the United States and the European Union, potentially leading to their exclusion from the international financial system (SWIFT).
Another goal is for the CCP to maintain its diplomatic image for propaganda purposes: as long as it employs "dual-use components" or utilizes "white glove transfers," the Ministry of Foreign Affairs can assert confidently at press conferences: "China has consistently upheld its arms control obligations and has never supplied weapons to parties in conflict."
Iran as a "free propaganda tool"
In its propaganda narrative, the CCP regards Iran as a "free propaganda tool" rather than a strategic ally.
For years, the CCP has depicted Iran as a "victim daring to resist American hegemony," crafting a narrative that portrays "the United States as igniting fires and creating humanitarian disasters across the Middle East" to stir up anti-American sentiment domestically.
On the international front, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has rebranded itself as a 'defender of peace,' actively promoting its support for mediation efforts by countries such as Qatar, Pakistan, and Oman. This creates a grand narrative of 'while both the U.S. and Iran are at war, only China is advocating for peace.'
Consequently, the CCP's military support for Iran is fundamentally a shrewd strategy of 'providing technology, resources, and intelligence (navigational information) without attaching its own name.' This approach equips Iran with sufficient missile and drone production capabilities to counter the U.S. military and Israel, while simultaneously allowing China to present itself as a 'peace-loving third party' on the global stage. This exemplifies the CCP's typical cunning tactics in geopolitical maneuvering.
The CCP's stance on the Iran conflict
Many political analysts have noted early on that the CCP 'absolutely hopes for smooth navigation in the Strait,' yet simultaneously 'definitely does not want the U.S. and Iran to genuinely achieve permanent reconciliation or a ceasefire.'
This may sound contradictory, right? However, if we dissect the CCP's strategic calculations, we discover that what it seeks is an extremely precise 'dynamic balance.'
The CCP's position on navigation through the Strait: it cannot afford to be completely blocked
Energy navigation is vital, particularly since the Strait of Hormuz accounts for nearly half of China's imported crude oil. A complete blockade of the Strait would pose an immediate suffocation risk to China's economy.
Thus, whenever tensions escalate and the Strait faces the threat of blockade, the CCP's Ministry of Foreign Affairs actively calls for 'all parties to exercise restraint and ensure the safety of international shipping lanes.' This aspect of 'hoping for navigation' is entirely genuine and urgent.
What the CCP fears most is the U.S. 'completely liberating' the situation.
While the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) hopes for navigation through the Taiwan Strait, it is deeply concerned about a genuine reconciliation between the United States and Iran, or the U.S. completely resolving its issues with Iran. This fear stems from the CCP's anxiety over the potential return of U.S. military forces to the Indo-Pacific region.
Should the U.S. successfully facilitate a ceasefire between itself and Iran, or even permanently eliminate the Iranian threat, the U.S. military's aircraft carrier strike groups, air defense systems, and precision munitions currently stationed in the Middle East could withdraw entirely. The U.S. would then be able to redirect all of its resources and focus back to the Indo-Pacific (including the Taiwan Strait and South China Sea). This scenario would represent a geopolitical nightmare for the CCP.
The CCP is also fearful of losing its access to 'cheap oil.'
As long as the U.S. and Iran remain in a state of confrontation and sanctions, Iranian oil cannot enter the regular international market, allowing the CCP to continue purchasing Iranian oil at discounted prices. If a ceasefire is achieved and Western sanctions are lifted, Iranian oil would re-enter the regular market, resulting in a significant loss of economic advantage for the CCP.
What the CCP desires most is not 'complete peace' in the Middle East, nor 'total destruction,' but rather a delicate balance of 'minor conflicts, fighting without defeat, and maintaining navigation.' The CCP aims to have 'Iran's oil while keeping U.S. troops entangled,' which prevents the U.S. military from fully concentrating on containing the CCP.
The CCP's calculations are marked by a malicious double standard.
The CCP's strategy is chillingly pragmatic—the ongoing conflicts in the Middle East, the suffering of the Iranian people, and the risks posed to international shipping lanes are viewed merely as quantifiable 'strategic assets' by the CCP.
The longer the fighting persists in the Middle East, the more precision missiles the U.S. military will expend. The more chaotic the situation becomes, the longer U.S. strategic resources will remain tied up in the Persian Gulf, resulting in reduced military pressure on the Taiwan Strait and South China Sea.
This exemplifies the typical malicious strategy of 'dead friends, not dead poor friends.'
Consequently, the ongoing conflicts in the Middle East have been covertly incited by the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). However, once the situation begins to stabilize, the CCP eagerly steps in to claim credit as if it were the firefighting team. The notion of 'peace' is merely a facade for the CCP; when it needs the U.S. military to be preoccupied, it covertly supports the conflict; when it requires the Strait of Hormuz to remain open for oil shipments, it loudly advocates for peace.
The CCP feels no moral qualms about harming U.S. and Western interests, even if it means backing regimes that promote extremism and geopolitical instability.
Iran is simply a pawn in its strategic game, and the Middle East serves as a sandbox for restraining the U.S. military. All diplomatic language and peace proposals are merely smokescreens to obscure the CCP's pursuit of maximizing its national interests.
(First published in People News)
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