Iranian Regime on the Brink—Why the CCP Is Anxious and Fearful, Changing Its Tune Daily

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[People News] The current Iranian regime is collapsing. The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is both anxious and fearful. Since June 13, in just one week, the CCP has swung from condemning Israel’s military actions to calling for peace talks, donning various diplomatic disguises. Why the sudden shift? And how does the changing Middle East landscape affect the CCP’s plans amid global chaos?

The Iranian Regime Is Rapidly Deteriorating

After several senior Iranian military officers and nuclear researchers were killed and some nuclear facilities were destroyed, reports suggest that Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, has retreated with his family to an underground bunker. He reportedly informed the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC): “I hand over all power to you. You will decide how to continue this war.” This suggests that Khamenei may be preparing to transfer authority to IRGC commander Mohammad Fakhpour. The media implies that Iran’s current regime has reached its end and is in collapse.

Reza Pahlavi, crown prince of the overthrown Iranian monarchy, posted a video urging the Iranian people to rise up and overthrow the regime. On June 18, former U.S. President Donald Trump stated that the Iranian regime could soon fall.

CCP’s Shifting Stance—A Daily Transformation

Regarding the latest conflict between Israel and Iran, the CCP initially condemned Israel, accusing it of violating international law and killing Iranian civilians. It declared that China (the CCP) opposed infringements on Iran’s sovereignty, security, and territorial integrity, taking a position contrary to many Western leaders. However, beginning June 16, the CCP’s rhetoric started to change. It began expressing “concern” over the situation and called for negotiations and peace. On June 16, Foreign Ministry spokesperson Guo Jiakun said during a press conference that the CCP was “deeply concerned” about Israel’s attacks on Iran and the resulting rapid military escalation. He urged all parties to “cool tensions” and return to dialogue and negotiation. On June 17, another spokesperson, Lin Jian, said that China (the CCP) is willing to play a “constructive role” in easing tensions. Interestingly, the CCP even claimed: “We have always advocated resolving the Iranian nuclear issue through political and diplomatic means.” This gives the impression that the CCP had nothing to do with Iran’s nuclear ambitions and now wants to pose as a peace promoter.

On June 18, when asked by Bloomberg about the U.S. stance on Iran, Guo Jiakun said: “Countries with special influence over Israel should remain objective and responsible, and play an active and constructive role in de-escalating the situation and avoiding broader conflict.”

Here, the CCP not only cast itself as “constructive,” but also subtly accused the U.S. of being biased and irresponsible in its support for Israel.

The CCP’s Support for Iran’s Destabilisation of the Middle East

It is widely known that Iran’s nuclear capabilities were largely built with CCP support. As early as the 1980s, the CCP helped Iran build a research reactor, supplied materials for four additional reactors, assisted in constructing a uranium enrichment facility near Isfahan, and resumed construction on the Bushehr nuclear power plant. In 1990, China and Iran signed a secret nuclear cooperation agreement, followed by another nuclear agreement in 1992. In 2005, seven Chinese companies were suspected of supplying Iran with nuclear weapons materials and were sanctioned by the U.S., but Chinese experts, scientists, and technicians remained in Iran. In recent years, Chinese influence has appeared throughout the Middle East conflicts—Iraq, Yemen, Syria—often through Iranian proxies like Hezbollah and the Houthis. Under the CCP’s manipulation, Iran joined both the China-led Shanghai Cooperation Organisation and the BRICS group.

In March 2021, the CCP and Iran signed a “25-Year Comprehensive Strategic Partnership Agreement,” which, according to Reuters, includes $300–400 billion in long-term Chinese investments in Iran’s energy, infrastructure, transport, petrochemicals, and security sectors—aiming to make Iran a strategic node in China’s Belt and Road Initiative.

Moreover, Iranian missiles, drones, and weapon parts used in the war with Israel were discovered to be made in China.

The CCP and Iran are often named by Western leaders and military analysts as two of the world’s “Four Axis of Evil” regimes. The CCP uses Iran to destabilise the Middle East and distract developed democratic nations, so it can seize power amid chaos. For the CCP, the more disorder in the world, the better.

Why the CCP Fears the Fall of Iran’s Regime

Regional instability in the Middle East is not unrelated to the CCP’s long-term efforts to sow discord between Iran and its neighbours. Initially, the CCP welcomed the Israel-Iran conflict. Its early rhetoric of righteous indignation was partly to deceive global audiences and partly out of frustration that its Iranian ally was under attack. But the CCP did not anticipate how quickly the situation would unravel. Within days, over 20 senior Iranian military and intelligence officials, including generals, were eliminated. Between 6 and 14 nuclear scientists were reportedly killed. Nuclear facilities and media headquarters were bombed. High-ranking Iranian officials fled, hid, resigned, or relinquished authority.

As the regime teetered, the CCP scrambled, its strategic plans in disarray. Suddenly, it began calling for peace and dialogue, pretending to be a “peaceful mediator” alongside the U.S., trying to preserve its investments and position. The CCP started urging communication, ceasefires, and de-escalation, advocating for international consensus and “common security” as a means of addressing “legitimate concerns.”

But even the craftiest fox slips up. As the situation worsened, the Chinese embassy in Israel urged Chinese citizens to evacuate—yet issued no such advisory for those in Iran. This implies that the CCP either still hopes Iran is safe, or it simply doesn't care about its citizens there.

Why is the CCP so afraid of Iran losing power? Not only would it lose a strategic pawn to destabilise the Middle East, but it fears that Iran’s people choosing to rise up might inspire the Chinese people. Israel has hinted at initiating a “regime execution model,” raising the possibility that Khamenei may meet Saddam Hussein’s fate—overthrown, tried, and executed. This sends chills down the halls of Zhongnanhai. Moreover, the CCP has invested heavily in Iran—if Khamenei’s regime collapses, the CCP’s 25-year agreement may be completely nullified, turning its massive spending into a total loss. This is why the CCP is panicking and changing its stance daily, throwing away both dignity and consistency in a desperate attempt to salvage its interests.

In the end, this only reinforces a fundamental historical truth: All dictatorships ultimately fall into the abyss they themselves have dug. The CCP, like Iran, cannot escape the iron law of karmic retribution. △

(First published by People News)